S M Anwar Hussain | Caravan Daily
IT is out and out clear that BJP is not going to win if the mood of the general public is of any indications. Most of the voting analyses are showing BJP shrinking. Nowhere in India, even one ardent supporter of Mr Modi, could come forward and said there is an undercurrent wave of BJP, forget about the BJP cyclone of 2014.
Not a single election meeting of Modi or Amit Shah can be called a mammoth rally. Forget about overwhelming crowds, even the chairs under the canopy were more often empty — and sometimes occupied by stray dogs. Most loyal TV houses could not dare show the crowd in meetings of top BJP leaders.
Yes, for all those who want to see BJP go, the scenario is very heartening. Six rounds of the election are over and the last round is just three days away and you can watch the pale-faced andh-Bhakts and bhakts both. The other day I was in the den of the supporters of Griraj Singh who was very humiliatingly forced to contest election from Begusarai instead of Nawada because of Nitish Kumar. His supporters were discussing the chances of his victory in Begusarai. I just listened to them and very bluntly intervened. “Forget about winning, he is finding it difficult to take a safe route out of Begusarai.
People are waiting for him with the garlands made of old shoes and sleepers. He is getting no escape route. Nitish Kumar himself is reported to have fielded hundreds of Chamars on various routes to give him a befitting welcome. “ (Nothing can be more humiliating for a BJP hero than that he is garlanded by a Chamar.) My such blunt comment made them silent and shocked. They didn’t say anything in response. If I had uttered the same sentence a year ago I would have become a victim of mob lynching. What happened with Amit Shah in West Bengal is enough to indicate what may happen with him and Modi throughout the country in the future.
Yes, the BJP, as visualised earlier, has been licking the dust and has almost lost the ground. But the most pertinent question is whether the “secular parties” would be able to regain the lost ground. The answer is more inclined to say ‘No’.
I do accept that public mandate is against BJP. Even in the Hindi heartland, it has lost its many blind followers. The question is if the BJP will ever allow this public vote to surface on the ground. The things that have been observed during the poll until now is that there are glaring signs of tampering with voting machines. If the local media says that 40% votes were cast in a certain polling booth or area by a certain time, the local Election Commission representatives just announced a much higher percentage of votes polled.
Hundreds of voters at hundred of booths voiced their grievances that the voting machines were diverting their votes to kamal (lotus, BJP’s election symbol) only. There have been also reports that EVM machines were noticed or seen at unauthorised places and with unauthorised persons. There are also reports in social media that thousands of EVM machines are missing from election Commission stores. There are so many other stories taking round in the public that government officials are day and night working for Amit Shah and Narender Modi.
In spite of all the reported omissions and commissions of the Election Commission, it is well conceived now that on the basis of vote counts BJP will go.
But the most important question is, “will RSS allow BJP to accept defeat or find ways to sabotage the entire electoral result. RSS knows that now onwards it will be not seen as a social communal organisation committed to national interests. RSS knows well that its image has changed in the last five years, among many upper caste Hindus. Retired bureaucrats, judges are now openly saying that basically, RSS is a fascist organisation having links with many international fascist and terrorist organisations. They know they have exposed themselves to the hilt.
There are a series of corruption charges against the rule of their blue-eyed boy. From demonetisations to Rafale deal, there will be instances of thousands of malpractices and they will be dug out by the next non-BJP government. They know by hook and crook they must win the election. Otherwise, the moment next government comes to power, the public will not wait for the government to do something.
There are Dalits, there are minorities, there are discarded and marginalised OBCs who are boiling with rage and anger and are ready to pounce upon them, the moment these people are thrown out of power. RSS, BJP and all Hindutva andh-bhakts know that they are going to meet open public thrashing, hooting and booting — thy other name is mob lynching.
Therefore, RSS will never allow BJP to accept defeat. So, what the RSS can do with the hanging sword. The biggest strength of RSS is that by now it knows well who are their people in the administration of the country — in the police, in the army, in the intelligence agencies. Entire media houses have been enslaved by the ruling dispensation. Unfortunately, it is for the first time that all the constitutional positions are filled by forces that are by training and bent of mind anti-Constitution. They don’t respect the Constitution of India, they rather hate our tricolour — the national flag. They will be always ready to trample upon the entire Indian constitution at the beck and call of their unconstitutional authority — that is RSS.
It is no secret that the President of India Ram Nath Kovind and Vice-President Venkaiah Naidu are having RSS background rather were active members of the saffron organization before taking over Constitutional posts. Naidu even remained the spokesperson of the RSS.
Election Commissioner is also a constitutional authority. Since he comes from Gujarat he is bound to toe the line of Modi and Amit Shah in any eventuality. The observation of the last 10-15 years is an ample indicator that Modi and Amit Shah are like Bhagwan of Gujarat cadre officers.
Most of the Governors, the symbol of the federal structure of Indian federalism are loyal to RSS. Army has always been considered and seen as the most disciplined and secular institution of India. But out of turn promotion of the present Army chief and his indulgence in political speaking is also not a good omen for the country.
So, what the RSS can do. The answer should be seen in a secret meeting between RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat and Israel ambassador in Assam in complete isolation, continuing for almost 5 days. There are a lot of things to read in their secret meeting only.
RSS is not Indira Gandhi. She imposed a constitutional emergency, lifted it after a year and a half, announced the election and very gracefully accepted the defeat.
Secular India must be ready to face any negative fall out of the election on May 23. The whole country may be pushed into a quagmire of communal riots. And the police, CRPF, and even Army can be pushed into it to play the Dharma taught by RSS, not the Indian Constitution and Indian social and political ethos, and ultimately counting of votes can be stopped, and emergency or marshal law may be imposed.
But this time if such ominous forecasts happen, Muslims should come forward and tell the world that they are still left with life and limbs and blood in their bodies. Self-defence is your constitutional right and your best choice.
Will Rahul Gandhi, Mamata Banerjee, Akhilesh Yadav, Mayawati, Tejashwi Yadav, Stalin, Chandrababu Naidu, and others sit together and hold a meeting how to defeat BJP and its nefarious designs after the counting process starts.
The author is ex-President of AMU Students Union. The views expressed here are his personal.